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Sports are where these firms make the bulk of their money, which is why both Kalshi and Polymarket are in the crosshairs of so many state gambling authorities. But this industry also thinks of itself as something far grander. Prediction market players want to be the news, and they’ve even devised new, frankly unconvincing frameworks for why they should be considered legitimate sources of information — instead of just anything-goes casinos. Yet more and more, news organizations are taking the bait.